同事Haytham 博士對美国伊朗谈判的评论。

Trump announces agreement, Tehran remains cautious

Last night June 11, 2026, US President Donald Trump announced an agreement with Iran to end the state of war, paving the way for negotiations to address the nuclear issue. Meanwhile, Tehran announced for the first time a significant breakthrough, stating that "the United States has agreed to the draft agreement sent by Iran."

According to well-informed sources, the breakthrough occurred yesterday afternoon through contacts in the Qatari capital, Doha, facilitated by Qatari Prime Minister Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani. A high-ranking Iranian official who traveled to Qatar also participated, along with a high-level envoy of President Trump.

According to the sources, the agreement stipulates initiating procedures to end the state of war in the Gulf and the entire region, including Lebanon. The United States agreed to a process of ending the state of war, not a ceasefire. Qatar provided a solution acceptable to both the US and Iran regarding the frozen funds, through a formula that avoids embarrassing the US president while allowing Iran to access its funds.

Regarding Lebanon, the source said that Iran received a final answer from the United States confirming that Lebanon is included in the agreement. President Trump spoke three times with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu about the Lebanese issue, particularly since the agreement to end the war is not limited to a ceasefire, but includes a complete cessation of all military operations, a timetable for a swift Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon, a guarantee to halt all demolition and bulldozing operations, and the release of prisoners.

Two nights after the strikes, to which Tehran responded by bombing American bases in Kuwait, Jordan, and Bahrain, Trump announced that an agreement had been reached and that he expected to sign it in Europe (likely in Switzerland) by the end of the week.

However, Tehran continued to treat the American announcement cautiously, given the US president's past record of reneging on agreements with Iran. Trump described the agreement as a "great settlement" and said, "We are finalizing the documents." He added that the signing could take place in Europe later this week, but he would not be able to attend; instead, his vice president, J.D. Vance, would be present.

He stated that the Strait of Hormuz would officially reopen once the agreement was signed, and that he had spoken with several Middle Eastern leaders, including the Emir of Qatar, Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani. He also claimed that the United States had "won a military victory in this war."

Later that night, Iran announced that the agreement with the United States was not yet finalized, but the Fars News Agency indicated that "given America's acceptance of Iran's proposed text, the chances of its ratification by the highest bodies of the regime are high."

Meanwhile, Netanyahu declared in a statement that "Israel is not a party to the understanding," expressing his appreciation for "Trump's commitment to ensuring that the agreement includes the removal of enriched materials, the dismantling of the nuclear program, a reduction in missile production, and a halt to Iran's support for its proxies in the region."

For his part, the Emir of Qatar announced that "the US President said that the US-Iranian understandings have the approval of all parties and the support of brotherly and friendly countries, including Qatar, and he affirmed the continuation of efforts to finalize the procedures in preparation for announcing the arrangements for signing the agreement."

Israel was surprised by Trump's post on the Truth Social platform, in which he first announced the agreement, according to Israel's Channel 12. Meanwhile, Channel 14, which is loyal to Netanyahu, quoted a senior Israeli political official as saying that "including Lebanon in the understandings between Washington and Tehran is bad... We were considering carrying out strong attacks against Hezbollah, but some of those plans will remain on hold."

Trump's post came after two nights of strikes failed to alter Tehran's stance. Iran threatened to escalate the conflict if the US strikes continued, while the Iranian military issued a statement warning Washington that "if you attack us again, the flames of war will widen and become more comprehensive." The statement added, "With our oil infrastructure under threat, we declare that oil exports will either be for everyone or for no one."

In a previous post on Truth Social, Trump announced that he would launch "very severe attacks tonight (last night - Thursday)" against Iran, threatening that "Washington will, in the near future, seize control of Kharg Island and all Iranian oil and gas infrastructure, as well as its markets, in a manner similar to what the United States did in Venezuela." He also threatened to bomb bridges across the country.

Trump's apparent reliance on "diplomacy under fire," through escalating military tensions and targeting certain Iranian sites, failed to pressure Iran into accepting US demands. Through its military responses and targeting of US bases in the region, Tehran sought to avoid appearing weak, thus preventing the consolidation of the equation Washington was trying to impose, and instead working to establish a new deterrent equation.

However, it was clear that the passage of time was putting pressure on both Iran and the United States. Iran sought to end the state of "neither war nor peace" and escape the pressure of the US naval blockade, while Washington sought to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, reduce the political and economic costs of prolonging the conflict, and reach an agreement that would allow it to portray its recent war against Tehran as an achievement.