美国与伊朗的60天停火延长协议

The US-Iran Initial Peace Deal

Following the recent heavy diplomatic activity in Tehran and Washington, the United States and Iran have agreed to a 60-day ceasefire extension, under which the Strait of Hormuz would be reopened. This would allow Iran to freely sell oil and enable negotiations toward curbing Iran’s nuclear program during the 60 days, according to sources in both Washington and Islamabad.

The sources in Islamabad said the deal would avoid an escalation of the war and decrease pressure on the global oil supply. However, it remains unclear whether the agreement will lead to a lasting peace deal that also addresses President Trump’s nuclear demands. Besides, Pakistan still have fears of sabotaging the process, particularly from the Israelis and some elements in the UAE.

At the last attempt, with Saudi Arabia in the loop, the Pakistani Army Chief remained in constant contact with leaders from China, Egypt, Turkey, and Iran. He had already sent the Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi to Tehran. Later on, the Army Chief Asim Munir arrived in Tehran. He was constantly in contact with the leaders of Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Turkey, which played a very crucial role, while Qatar had sent its delegates to Tehran. According to the sources, the UAE and Israel were tough in convincing parties for the ceasefire, but the regional countries, with the US push, eventually agreed.

Both Trump and the mediators have indicated the deal could be announced within the next 24 hours, though it has not been finalised and could still fall apart.

What we know so far about the Deal:

The U.S. has provided a detailed outline of the draft as it stands, much of which was verified by other sources close to the talks. The first statement will be brief, and the contents of that announcement have already been approved by both Iran and the US, as per Pakistani intelligence sources

Both sides would sign a memorandum of understanding (MOU) that would last 60 days and could be extended by mutual consent.

During the 60 days, the Strait of Hormuz would be open with no tolls, and Iran would agree to clear the mines it deployed in the strait to let ships pass freely. There will be no violation of the ceasefire, and both sides will refrain from using harsh language against each other or the deal.

In exchange, the U.S. would lift its blockade on Iranian ports and issue some sanctions waivers to allow Iran to sell oil freely.

A U.S. official acknowledged that it would be a boost to Iran’s economy but said it would also give significant relief to the global oil market.

The U.S. official said the faster the Iranians clear the mines and shipping resumes, the faster the blockade would be lifted.

The official said Trump’s key principle in the agreement is “relief for performance.”

Iran wanted funds unfrozen immediately and permanent sanctions relief, but the U.S. said that would only happen after tangible concessions were made, according to a U.S. official quoted by a media organisation.